My guests today are Deiya and Dean Pernas, founders of Pernas Research, who have compounded capital at roughly 30% annually over the past nine years.
We explore their private equity-like approach to public markets: understanding businesses from the inside out, judging management teams and capital allocation, and finding inflection points before they show up in the financials.
We also discuss their “motor” investing framework, why trajectory matters more than absolute quality, lessons from poker and bankroll management, and how they think about position sizing, averaging down, and knowing when a thesis is broken.
TIMESTAMPS 0:00 The opportunity in public markets 2:49 From poker and engineering to investing 6:08 Private equity lessons for public investors 11:35 The Motor investing framework 14:40 Finding potential before the numbers 17:02 When to sell 19:20 How to judge great CEOs 23:39 Capital allocation: good and bad 29:59 Trajectory over quality 33:32 Finding inflection points 36:45 Incentives and shareholder alignment 41:48 Poker lessons for portfolio management 45:16 Position sizing, averaging down, and surviving mistakes
This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions.
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