Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold are back for another episode of Macro Mondays, boiling down the latest topics, from why the Fed may still be overreading inflation risks to why Donald Trump ordered a pullback on military exercises in South Korea. Plus, Andreas lays out his favorite trades for the current macro regime.
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Timestamps: 00:00 - Goldilocks Is Back? Why Growth and Inflation Are Finally Aligning 05:02 - US Consumer Strength vs Record-Low Sentiment: What’s Really Going On 10:41 - Why the Fed Could Be Wrong-Footed by Falling Inflation 13:07 - Four Reasons US Inflation Is Cooling Faster Than Expected 18:45 - Could Goldilocks Change the Midterm Election Outlook? 19:36 - Trump, South Korea, and the Growing Risk to Asia’s AI Supply Chain 22:08 - High-Bandwidth Memory, China, and the US Export-Control Problem 24:31 - Micron, Memory Stocks, and Why the AI Trade May Still Be Early 26:34 - The Best Macro Trade Now: Own Inflation Where the Fed Can’t See It 29:31 - Why a Weaker Dollar Could Unlock the Next Leg of the Rally
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