Scenario planning on the Middle East conflict

In this 153rd episode of the On Investors' Minds podcast, Tai Hui dives into possible outcomes of the current ongoing Middle East conflict between the U.S. and Iran.  Although there are plenty of complex factors to consider, three clear scenarios around the Strait of Hormuz are most probable: i.) a near term reopening (our base case), ii.) an extended closure, and iii.) a worst-case deterioration with sustained damage to energy infrastructure.  How would interest rates, equities, bonds, currency, and hedges behave in each scenario?  Listen now to Tai for a concise, client-ready checklist that turns geopolitics into decision points - so "cash is the only answer" doesn't become the default.  

The J.P. Morgan Guide to the Markets illustrates a comprehensive array of market and economic histories, trends and statistics through clear charts and graphs. Download the 2nd quarter 2026 Guide to the Markets - Asia from the J.P. Morgan website (https://am.jpmorgan.com/en/asset-management/institutional/insights/market-insights/guide-to-the-markets/?utm_campaign=-en--podcastEP153).  

For 10 years, the Market Insights program has been on the ground across the Asia Pacific region engaging with clients, and providing guidance on the complex global markets. Listen now and don't forget to subscribe to stay updated on future episodes of On Investors' Minds - APAC Edition. For more analysis on the financial markets, visit the J.P. Morgan Asset Management website at https://am.jpmorgan.com.