Could a U.S. military intervention in Mexico actually happen—and what would it look like if it did?

Ed Calderon joins the show and we break down the growing tension between the United States and Mexico, the strategic importance of northern Mexico’s manufacturing base, and why a future conflict could extend far beyond the fight against cartels and fentanyl. The conversation explores the potential consequences of military intervention, including mass migration, border shutdowns, trade disruptions, economic shortages, and the possibility of cartel groups transforming into organized guerrilla forces using drones, IEDs, precision weapons, and other modern battlefield tactics.

We also examine why Mexico could become an extremely difficult environment for a prolonged U.S. military campaign, how deeply interconnected Mexican and American communities are, and why recent operations against historically powerful cartel figures may signal a much larger geopolitical shift.

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0:00 Could the U.S. Go to War With Mexico?

7:46 Michoacán, Cartels & Self-Defense Groups

14:50 U.S. Pressure on Mexico’s Politicians

22:02 CIA Operations, the DEA & Iran-Contra

28:36 Mayo Zambada, Sinaloa & Political Corruption

36:12 Why a U.S.–Mexico Military Clash Could Happen

42:22 The Economic Motive for Invading Mexico

49:54 What Would a U.S. Intervention Actually Look Like?

55:55 Cartel Fighters, Snipers & Guerrilla Warfare

1:03:12 Could Mexico Turn Into a Civil War?

1:10:07 Morena, Foreign Influence & Mexico’s Sovereignty

1:15:30 The Huachicol Fuel-Smuggling Empire

1:21:52 How U.S. Fuel Gets Smuggled Into Mexico

1:28:58 Sinaloa’s Future, CJNG & Cross-Border Drug Tunnels Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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