Tom Nelson
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Stephen Andrews: “Extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” #432

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Steve Andrews presents an “extension to the cosmic ray hypothesis” for climate change, building on Svensmark and Shaviv’s idea that galactic cosmic rays influence low clouds and cooling, modulated by solar and Earth magnetic fields. Using UAH satellite temperature anomalies (1979–present), CERES, and Oulu neutron counts, he claims monthly warming-rate peaks occur near equinoxes, varies by region, and differs over land vs ocean. He links this to the Russell–McPherron effect: equinox magnetic alignment increases geomagnetic storms, solar-energy input heats and expands the thermosphere, shifting where cosmic-ray energy is dissipated, altering cloud height (higher clouds warming). He argues CO2-driven warming is unsupported, cites CERN CLOUD evidence for cloud nuclei, and suggests declining geomagnetic strength may matter.


00:00 Steve Returns and Topic

00:25 Feynman Quotes and Credentials

01:19 Cosmic Ray Climate Basics

04:13 Heliosphere and Magnetosphere

07:50 Evidence and Correlations

13:28 New Solar Oscillations

16:43 Why Satellite Data Matters

20:33 Monthly Warming Rate Method

22:26 Equinox Peaks in Warming

25:58 Exceptions Canada Australia

29:33 Land Minus Ocean Signal

32:05 Geomagnetic Storm Explanation

35:59 Auroras and Equinox Effect

36:20 Cloud Height Climate Lever

36:47 Thermosphere Heating Mechanism

39:20 Thermosphere Expansion Evidence

40:08 Tropics and Cosmic Ray Patterns

42:14 Climate Impact Summary

43:40 Cloud Data and Correlations

45:06 Challenges and Magnetic Field

49:48 Solar Flux and Altitude Signals

53:22 QBO Link to Solar Cycles

56:38 Satellite Cloud Height Trends

59:12 Long Records and Big Claims

01:03:43 Renewables Cost Anecdote

01:05:47 Q and A CERN and Aerosols

01:11:39 Closing Remarks


Stephen Andrews Substack: https://substack.com/@stephen938

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Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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