Bitcoin got calmer but violent swings hit more often

Bitcoin looks calm. 10 shocks say otherwise. Calm is not safe.

Today's key developments:
• Bitcoin looks tame on average but printed 10 extreme three-sigma days in 2026, more than the 8 in the 2018 bear market.
• Bitcoin and Ether order books are deeper than on crash day and the start of 2025 and 2026, while smaller altcoins still face thin liquidity.
• Blockchain.com applied to the CFTC for two licenses to offer event contracts and crypto derivatives in the US.


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