Diogo Correia, Cristiano Vagos, João Lourenço Marques, and Leonor Teixeira test last-mile logistics in Portuguese cities. Over 76% of municipalities lack real-time tools, so a 15-minute city-led network is elegant on paper and hard to run.
The debate is whether a municipality should orchestrate shared hubs, cargo bikes, and a predictive map, or whether missing data and thin coordination make that role impractical. Proprietary vans account for up to 21% of CO2 in residential areas, and only about 2% of municipalities said they would not struggle to mobilise a 15-minute response.
Lisbon is the worked example: DBSCAN inside 1.5 kilometres, Uber's H3 grid, and Valhalla 15-minute bike isochrones. GDPR, hills, cold storage, and private operators who compete on routing are the constraints. The research transcript is on the show site.
(00:00) The last-mile free-for-all
(02:41) A 15-minute logistics question
(03:41) Logistics 4.0 and shared hubs
(04:40) Lisbon's tools and algorithm
(06:05) Data, privacy, and radar
(07:08) Sharing work with operators
(08:26) Hills, storage, and bikes
(09:46) What both sides still share
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/13675567.2022.2130211
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Pairs with episode 474
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