Raoul and Andreas Steno break down how Treasury policy, a weaker dollar, and improving liquidity could extend the business cycle and support risk assets like Bitcoin into 2027. They also explore why the AI and CapEx boom may still be in its early stages, with productivity gains and surging demand for compute reshaping the economy. Recorded August 25, 2026.
TOKEN2049 Singapore, the world's largest crypto event, returns to Marina Bay Sands on 7–8 October. 25,000 attendees, 500 exhibitors, 300 speakers and 1,000 side events take over the city during TOKEN2049 Week.
On stage: Raoul Pal (Real Vision), Jeff Yan (Hyperliquid) and Shayne Coplan (Polymarket). The Real Vision community gets 10% off tickets; claim yours. -- https://checkout.token2049.com/events/asia?promo=realvision10&utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=realvision&utm_id=realvision
🔥 *Download Raoul Pal's 4-year investing roadmap for free:* https://rvtv.io/41fVHWF
Timestamps:
00:00 - Why Bessent’s Treasury Strategy Could Change Everything
03:17 - Scott Bessent’s Plan to Reshape the Treasury Market
04:26 - How Hedge Funds Became the Biggest Buyers of U.S. Treasuries
07:36 - Why the Repo Market Is Too Big to Fail
10:46 - Treasury Buybacks, Bank Liquidity, and the U.S. Debt Problem
13:27 - The Yield Curve Strategy That Could Extend the Bull Market
16:08 - Why Bessent Wants a Weaker U.S. Dollar
17:43 - Bitcoin, Gold, and the Short Dollar Trade
20:27 - Why Liquidity Is Rotating Back Into Bitcoin and Risk Assets
23:16 - Strait of Hormuz, Oil, and the Inflation Outlook
27:39 - AI, Robotics, and the Productivity Boom
34:09 - Is AI Growth Missing From GDP Data?
37:22 - Why the Business Cycle Could Run Into 2027
38:54 - The AI CapEx Boom Is Far From Over
41:16 - OpenAI vs Anthropic: The Race for AI Compute
45:18 - Why Markets Could Rally Into 2027
#raoulpal #andreassteno #macro #bessent #bitcoin #crypto #liquidity #bullmarket #businesscycle #ai #capex #productivity #markets #investing #realvision #thejourneyman
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