Checkout David's Book: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1997701774?lv=shuf&channelId=500&plpRedirect=mhFallback
Checkout Rosenberg Research: https://www.rosenbergresearch.com
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On the RiskReversal Podcast, Dan Nathan interviews David Rosenberg (aka Rosie) about the CPI report, Fed policy, and what Rosenberg views as an AI-driven market “mania” and one-trick-pony economy. Rosenberg says the latest core CPI print is disappointing but argues inflation is being driven largely by energy-related supply shocks, with weakening real wages, slowing real spending, cracking housing, stable money growth, and range-bound inflation expectations. He warns the Fed’s hawkish pivot risks a consumer-led recession, and highlights extreme market concentration, deteriorating breadth, negative equity risk premium, and heavy household equity exposure as signs of fragility reminiscent of 1999. The conversation also covers AI capex crowding out broader investment, cracks in credit-sensitive sectors, and Rosenberg’s new book, Bear in the Bull Ring, whose proceeds he donates to charity.
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