Ray Rike sits down with Sundeep Goel, co-founder and CEO of Mavvrik, for a deep dive into the second annual AI cost governance research report from Maverick and Benchmarkit. With 30+ years in enterprise software, Sundeep brings a practitioner's view of why AI spend is proving far harder to forecast and govern than cloud spend ever was, and what finance and technology leaders need to do about it.
Forecast accuracy is getting worse, not better. Only 11% of companies can forecast AI spend within plus or minus 10% in 2026, down from 15% the prior year, even as aggregate AI spend has climbed sharply.
Unexpected AI costs are already changing business decisions. 49% of companies with AI-powered digital products have had to modify pricing, and 25% have stalled or shelved an AI project due to cost overruns.
Traditional per-seat and percentage-of-spend pricing models are breaking down. Variable, high AI cost of goods sold is pushing companies toward consumption-based and outcome-based pricing.
Cost tracking and cost allocation are two different problems. 98% of companies say they track AI costs at an aggregate level, but only about 5% can allocate that spend down to the customer, application, or agent level where it actually drives decisions.
Cost governance is the precursor, cost optimization is the destination. Drawing a parallel to the 30%+ waste long documented in cloud spend, Sundeep argues a similar magnitude of waste exists in AI spend today, and that dynamic model selection, prompt caching, and rate optimization are the next frontier.
ROI has a solvable half and a harder half. Cost is measurable today; value remains subjective and requires a company-specific framework to quantify.
Ray and Sundeep close with three rapid-fire questions on who should own AI ROI measurement, the key variables for driving it, and advice for early-career professionals navigating an AI-disrupted job market.
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