Does “tough on crime” actually work? Could Ban the Box policies backfire?

 

Jen Doleac, PhD, is Executive Vice President of Criminal Justice at Arnold Ventures, a philanthropy maximizing evidence based policy & minimizing injustice. She is an economist & the author of The Science of Second Chances who prefers the reliable lens of data over personal values & has a particular interest in how measurable data can give rise to positive societal change.


In this episode, she breaks down when prison actually works versus when it just creates more prisoners & walks through how the minefield of rules in probation may not prevent new crime in the way we think. You’ll also hear the re-entry policies that worked vs flopped & the real life results from policies developed through data.

 

If you liked this episode, you’ll also like episode 195: ROUNDING UP SUSPICIOUS WOMEN? THE AMERICAN PLAN


Guest:

Book: https://a.co/d/0aZzqCMt 

https://x.com/jenniferdoleac 

https://www.linkedin.com/in/jdoleac/ 

https://jenniferdoleac.com

https://www.probablecausation.com/ 

Newsletter https://probablecausation.substack.com/

arnoldventures.org

 

Sponsors: 

https://www.historicpensacola.org/about-us/ 

 

2:44 Homicide is basically a coin flip

4:36 Probability vs. severity of punishment

5:56 The evidence against harsh sentencing

8:15 Are we confusing retribution with safety?

9:03 Digital crimes and the Undress Me app case

12:10 Policymakers blocking unfavorable research

14:47 "Tough on crime" politics vs. data

24:11 DNA profiles vs. 23andMe: what's actually stored

35:04 DUIs: breathalyzers and officer discretion

37:56 South Dakota's 24/7 Sobriety program

40:43 Re-entry: Ban the Box backfires

42:51 Hiring bias and insurance as a fix

45:06 Rehabilitation certificates work

47:24 Housing barriers and halfway house surprises

49:16 Mental health gaps post-release

50:14 Medicaid's inmate exclusion

52:14 Reentry waivers and continuity of care

54:43 Head Start, prevention, and crime

58:15 Lead poisoning and the serial-killer hypothesis

1:04:08 The four reasons we punish people

1:06:10 Book, podcast, and what's next for Jen

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