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ev.news Policy: Europe's Carmakers Want Fuel Cars Past 2035. Can It Save Them?

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France and Germany want to loosen Europe’s 2035 car emissions rules while linking public support more closely to European production. In this ev.news Policy special, Martyn Lee explains the competing proposals, what they could mean for combustion engines and plug-in hybrids, and why a 90% emissions cut does not mean 90% electric car sales. EU law has not changed.

Electric car demand is growing, but Europe’s manufacturers and suppliers face pressure on earnings, jobs and their business in China. We examine BMW’s progress on EV margins, Volkswagen’s efforts to reduce development costs and the limits of tariffs. Leapmotor’s production in Spain illustrates how Chinese technology can support European factory jobs while raising questions about ownership, expertise and how much manufacturing value stays locally.

We also look at the gap between plug-in hybrids’ official and on-road emissions, the consequences for national climate commitments and what European production requirements could mean for buyers. Keeping combustion cars on sale may help finance the transition. The test is whether manufacturers use that time to build competitive electric cars profitably and retain skilled work.

10 key points

  • The proposed bargain: France and Germany want weaker emissions requirements from 2035, alongside stronger support for European manufacturing.
  • The law remains unchanged: Competing proposals still need agreement. An emissions reduction target does not translate directly into an electric car sales quota.
  • Keeping manufacturing value locally: Public support could depend on European assembly and component sourcing, extending the benefits beyond factory assembly jobs.
  • EV demand is growing: More affordable models and stricter emissions standards have helped encourage sales, despite manufacturers seeking less regulatory pressure.
  • Industry faces real financial pressure: Supplier job losses and falling business in China threaten earnings, skills and production capacity.
  • Manufacturers are improving EV economics: BMW reports progress on contribution margins, while Volkswagen expects shared development to reduce costs.
  • Protection has limits: Tariffs cannot reduce European manufacturing costs or restore the Chinese customers European brands have lost.
  • Chinese competition is becoming local: Leapmotor’s Spanish production shows that European employment, European ownership and European technology are different things.
  • Hybrid accounting matters: Favourable official emissions calculations can disguise higher fuel use. Weaker manufacturer rules would leave governments’ separate climate obligations intact.
  • Extra time needs a purpose: Continued combustion sales can help fund change, but Europe’s future depends on building compelling, competitive electric cars profitably.

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