The winds of change are upon us. The forces currently shaping Australian and global markets feel more whipsaw and shape-shifting than ever before and investors today must contend with a far broader set of variables.

As Livewire’s Chris Conway put it: "When I was coming up, admittedly many moons ago in markets, there was only three things that you needed to pay attention to have a handle on the macro, and that was inflation, interest rates, and growth. Now we have to worry about policy mistakes, housing, AI, deglobalisation and US exceptionalism, to name but a few."

So is it the same game with more moving parts, or is it genuinely more complex? That’s the question we put to our panellists at Livewire Live:

  • Diana Mousina, Deputy Chief Economist at AMP;
  • Damien Boey, portfolio strategist at Wilson Asset Management; and
  • Roy Keenan, co-head of Australian Fixed Income of Yarra Capital.

Please note this panel was filmed 22nd September, one week prior to the RBA's September board meeting announcement.

Timecodes:

  • 00:00 - Introduction & Market Complexity Poll
  • 01:05 - Is the RBA Risking Over-Tightening Rates?
  • 03:04 - Inflation Persistence vs. Consumer Resilience
  • 05:09 - What the Bond Market Signals for RBA Policy
  • 06:52 - Predictions for the Upcoming September RBA Meeting
  • 08:51 - Housing Market Outlook & Correction Risks
  • 11:26 - Banking Buffers & Equity Valuations
  • 15:18 - Government Debt, Deficits & Central Bank Independence
  • 21:22 - Asset Allocation in a High-Deficit Environment
  • 23:05 - The Impact of AI, Data Infrastructure & Global Trade
  • 28:11 - Rethinking US Exceptionalism & Australian Opportunities
  • 34:16 - Q&A: Corporate Balance Sheets, Rate Cut Calls & Credit Markets

General Advice Warning

Livewire gives readers access to information and educational content provided by financial services professionals and companies (”Livewire Contributors”). Livewire does not operate under an Australian financial services licence and relies on the exemption available under section 911A(2)(eb) of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) in respect of any advice given. Any advice on this site is general in nature and does not take into consideration your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before making a decision please consider these and any relevant Product Disclosure Statement. Livewire has commercial relationships with some Livewire Contributors.

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