Is the Risk-On Trade Breaking Down? | Macro Mondays: September 14, 2026

Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to discuss several key macro signals that are potentially shifting all at once. They dig into the outlook for oil flows, whether a new hiking cycle is starting to emerge, and what it all means for the risk-on trade. Be sure to check out the Steno Nowcasting Dashboard for the latest signals on growth, inflation, and liquidity, only on Real Vision!

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Timestamps: 00:00 - Macro Mondays with Andreas Steno & Mikkel Rosenvold 00:07 - Are We F*cked? AI, Inflation, Oil, and Rate Hikes 02:25 - Dario Amodei’s AI Warning: Is the AI Boom About to Slow? 05:22 - Why AI CEOs May Be Hedging Political Risk Ahead of the IPOs 09:18 - Could the US Government End Up Backstopping the AI Buildout? 11:07 - Hardware vs Software: Who Loses If AI Development Slows? 15:23 - Fed Preview: Why a September Rate Hike Now Looks Likely 17:03 - Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the Latest Oil Supply Shock 20:32 - Oil Above $100? Why Markets May Already Be Pricing the Worst 22:32 - What Kevin Warsh Could Signal After the Rate Hike 24:18 - What Usually Happens to Stocks After the Fed Starts Hiking? 25:39 - Why the Dollar Could Still Be the Trade to Fade 27:52 - Fed vs Global Central Banks: Why the US May Hike Less Than Everyone Else #macromondays #macro #mikkelrosenvold #andreassteno Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices