Jeremy Schwartz and Professor Jeremy Siegel open with the latest jobs report, highlighting stronger-than-expected payroll growth, upward revisions, rising hours worked, improved labor-force participation, and contained wage pressures. Siegel argues the data point to a resilient economy but may temper hopes for a dramatic AI-driven productivity surge this quarter. He also discusses the case for a Federal Reserve rate hike, rising money supply growth, bond yields, inflation risks tied to oil and Iran, and the market implications of stronger growth and higher discount rates. The conversation also touches on AI-related productivity gains, limited evidence of widespread AI-driven layoffs, and geopolitical developments involving Russia and Ukraine. (16:00) After Professor Siegel signs off, Schwartz continues with Sam Rines and Chris Gannatti. They examine whether longer-duration bonds are becoming more attractive, along with opportunities in gold, housing, and other rate-sensitive areas. The discussion then turns to AI, including hyperscaler spending, data-center commitments, semiconductor beneficiaries, the risks surrounding future compute demand, and whether major technology companies are becoming value opportunities. They also cover Tesla’s robotaxis, the strategic importance of compute, Japan’s currency and rate outlook, Venezuela’s potential role in U.S. energy security, and continued progress in quantum computing.
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