Chuck Todd opens with what he calls the unmistakable arrival of a "YOLO caucus" in the Senate — a growing number of congressional Republicans who are simply done capitulating to Trump, evidenced by John Thune publicly declaring there's no need to "weaponize" the DNI position and by the broader sense that the non-Trump part of the GOP is openly preparing to move on. He argues Trump is doing everything possible to accelerate his own lame duck status: he's politicizing America's 250th anniversary in ways that genuinely alarm vulnerable Republicans, he failed to engage any of the former presidents in the 250th planning, and he's creating Marie Antoinette-style "let them eat cake" optics by celebrating himself at a moment of real economic pain for ordinary Americans. Trump's treatment of CNN's Kaitlan Collins was outrageous, his cranky behavior with the press is a tell that things aren't going well, and his decision to formally nominate Todd Blanche for Attorney General has essentially zero chance of confirmation — Blanche has burned his bridges in the Senate and the doomed January 6th weaponization fund was reportedly his idea in the first place. It's almost as if Trump is begging to put a neon "I'm a lame duck" sign on the White House. Chuck then turns to California, where ballots are still being counted at a pace that he says is actively eroding public trust in the democratic process itself — the state desperately needs to find a way to count faster — and notes that CA-06 was drawn as a safe Democratic seat but the top two finishers right now are both Republicans, while Spencer Pratt looks safer in the LA mayoral race than Steve Hilton does in the governor's race. He closes with a fascinating analysis of the Graham Platner situation in Maine, where Janet Mills' decision to leave her name on the ballot has created a Nikki Haley-style protest vote opportunity for nervous Democrats — Mills didn't bow out in disgrace so her floor is high, and if she pulls 25% or more in the primary, Chuck predicts very real conversations about replacing Platner will begin. The number to watch is ME-02: if Platner underperforms there, it's the clearest red flag that a candidate Democrats once viewed as a slam-dunk pickup is now in serious trouble.
Finally, Chuck answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment and spends a few minutes reflecting on the life of his grandmother who passed away this week.
Predict the action all the way through the finals. Sign up now for your twenty-five dollar bonus on https://fanduel.com/predicts
Link in bio or go to https://getsoul.com & enter code TODDCAST for 30% off your first order.
Thank you Wildgrain for sponsoring. Visit http://wildgrain.com/TODDCAST and use the code "TODDCAST" at checkout to receive $30 off your first box PLUS free Croissants for life!
Timeline:
(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)
00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction
06:45 Increasing # of congressional Republicans done capitulating to Trump
07:30 John Thune said we don’t need “weaponization” of DNI position
08:30 There’s a growing “YOLO caucus” in the senate
09:30 The non-Trump part of the GOP is ready to move on from Trump
10:00 Trump’s treatment of Kaitlin Collins is outrageous
11:45 Trump gets cranky with the press when things aren’t going well
12:30 Trump is a terrible negotiator
13:00 Trump is creating huge political risk politicizing America 250
13:45 Trump should have put the UFC on the national mall, not WH
15:00 Trump is celebrating himself for 250, terrible move politically
16:15 Trump didn’t engage with the former presidents for 250
17:00 Trump is creating Marie Antoinette “let them eat cake” optics
18:30 Vulnerable Republicans may fear attending Trump’s 250 events
19:00 Trump is looking to formally nominate Todd Blanche for AG
19:30 There is zero chance Todd Blanche can get confirmed
20:15 Blanche hasn’t made friends. Weaponization fund was his idea
22:15 Trump may be done listening to any rational advice
23:30 It’s like Trump wants to put a neon “I’m a lame duck” sign on WH
24:15 California ballots are still being counted. Can Steyer and Raman catch up?
26:15 Pratt seems to have a more comfortable lead than Hilton
27:30 CA-06 was drawn to be Democratic, top two so far are Republican
29:45 California desperately needs to find a way to count ballots faster
30:30 Slow count erodes trust is democracy and counting process
33:15 Graham Platner visit to D.C. went ok, but there’s trepidation
35:30 Platner wants to drive the narrative he’s still ahead of Collins
36:30 Polling has shown Platner with a massive lead over Collins for weeks
38:15 Platner’s recent scandals have him in trouble, can’t take much more
39:30 New polling shows Platner took a hit, but it’s recoverable
40:00 Janet Mills chose to keep her name on the ballot for uneasy Dems
41:00 Maine is one of the easier states to replace a candidate
42:30 How votes for Mills should be read
44:15 Mills didn’t bow out in disgrace, her floor is higher
45:30 Mills could become a protest vote for Platner, similar to Nikki Haley
47:00 If Maine voters are nervous about Platner, they can vote for Mills
49:00 If Mills gets 25% or more, then there will be talks of replacing Platner
51:15 If Platner underperforms in ME-02, that’s a red flag
55:45 Chuck’s thoughts on interview with Todd Ricketts
57:15 Salary cap proposal for MLB revealed
58:30 Salary cap could be much higher than expected to buy time
59:45 Willingness to pool local revenue is a big deal
1:00:00 Ask Chuck
1:00:15 Is voting for a candidate an indictment of the character of the voter?
1:19:15 How would the logistics work for expanding the house?
1:23:15 How much should a candidate’s private behavior affect their electability?
1:31:00 How does a state with no income tax like Florida fund services?
1:35:45 With government agreeing to large settlements, won’t future admins do the same?
1:44:30 Chuck’s eulogy for his grandmother
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
