The Monday Dividend Cafe recaps a volatile market day that resembled prior Iran-tension selloffs: oil surged nearly 10%, energy rose over 3%, tech fell over 2%, semiconductors dropped about 4.77%, the Nasdaq fell over 1.5%, the S&P 500 was down 80 bps, and the Dow slipped 138 points, while the 10-year yield rose 6 bps to 4.63%. The host discusses an apparent market leadership rotation (equal-weight beating cap-weight, small cap beating large cap, value beating growth) alongside the paradox of momentum being the top year-to-date factor because “momentum” has shifted to new leaders. He adds new “More to Chew On” links to the written Dividend Cafe and previews a Friday piece on five market concerns and five non-concerns. Key news includes the reported death of Senator Lindsey Graham and escalating US-Iran strikes with renewed Strait of Hormuz closure and US blockade claims. He notes June existing home sales fell 2.4%, contrasts mortgage rates and home prices versus 10 years ago, summarizes new Fed task forces, and highlights differing views on rate hikes with futures implying a 90% chance of at least one hike by year-end.
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