The Chicago Bears’ surprising 11-6 season and playoff win looked like the start of something special—with rookie QB Caleb Williams and coach Ben Johnson leading the charge. But the numbers tell a different story: their win total was inflated by luck, they led the league in turnover margin (hard to repeat), and their advanced stats show they were closer to average than elite. With a tougher schedule ahead and regression looming, fans should temper expectations—last year’s magic might not last.

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