● The Paradox Rally: A shockingly weak jobs report pushed the S&P 500 to a record close, as traders bet a struggling labor market keeps the Fed on hold. Good news for portfolios, more complicated for the real economy.
● AI Earnings Divergence, Round Two: Following last week's "Split Decision," this week's results from Palantir, AMD, Broadcom and Microsoft reinforced the winners' side of the AI trade.
● The Hormuz Whiplash: Oil swung more than 10% peak-to-trough this week as diplomacy and renewed threats around the Strait of Hormuz traded places daily. Iran's Sunday demands leave the situation unresolved heading into next week.
● Tariffs as Foreign Policy: Between the looming Canada tariff and the new Russia-sanctions tariff bill, trade policy is increasingly being used as a geopolitical lever, not just an economic one.
● China vs. Hong Kong: A reminder that "Chinese stocks" aren't a single trade — mainland shares rallied over 3% while Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell, driven by different capital flows and sector mixes.
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