Joe Burrow’s fantasy value hinges on his arm, not his legs—44.8% of his fantasy points since 2021 come from passing, with just 2.9% from rushing. Drafted at pick 54, he needs volume touchdowns to hit his 19.2 PPG projection, unlike dual-threat QBs like Jalen Hurts or Josh Allen. The Bengals’ pass-heavy offense amplifies this risk: even a stellar season (4,500 yards, 35 TDs) might not justify his early draft cost without added mobility. In a deep QB class, managers may find better value later—unless they’re betting on pure passing upside.
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