SpaceX’s stock, despite a 52% drop from its June peak, still trades at an eye-popping 105x forward EBITDA—driven by Wall Street’s bet on Starlink profitability by 2027. With 27 of 34 analysts rating it buy or strong buy, the market remains bullish… but nervousness is rising as over 900 million shares—more than currently outstanding—are set to hit the market soon. Analysts point to looming lock-up expirations, uncertain AI ventures, and even a potential Tesla merger as catalysts for volatility. The real test? Can SpaceX land a major government AI deal to stabilize sentiment and turn the tide before these massive sell-offs hit?
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