The Fed faces a pivotal decision as inflation data cools but global chaos—rising oil prices, Middle East tensions, and AI-driven demand—threaten to push rates higher. Market bets now favor a hike, with key officials like Lorie Logan and Beth Hammack urging action, while others hold back. With tariffs, unstable peace deals, and AI investment fueling inflation fears, the Fed is walking a tightrope—ready to pivot if data shifts, and all eyes are on their July meeting for clues.

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