When our Nomad Network members heard this episode live, they said it was one of the best shows we’ve ever had.
Perhaps that’s because we just finished reading two of the most interesting books we’ve ever read.
The first one is “The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy - What the Cycles of History Tell Us About America’s Next Rendezvous with Destiny”, written by Neil Howe and William Strauss. They describe an 80-year generational cycle that has persisted throughout Western civilization since at least the 1400s. Written in 1997, the book predicts the 2008 housing crisis, and they predicted the COVID crisis, to within a few years of when both events actually happened.
If we follow the pattern their theory describes, we should expect some type of major global total-war-style event over the next 3-6 years. Perhaps we’re already in it.
But that’s only the bad news. The good news is, the cycle predicts that that major event will be followed by a restart of the cycle into an era of peace, prosperity, and growth, a la the post-war era in America (1946-1963).
The second book is called “Wanting: The Power of Mimetic Desire in Everyday Life”, by Luke Burgis. The book draws on the seminal work of French polymath Rene Girard, who introduced the concept of mimetic theory to the world. According to Girard, we are driven by our desires, yet we don’t arrive at these desires independently. We learn both how and what to desire by mimicking of other people. Like gravity, mimesis is a powerful force that always affects us, even (especially!) when we aren’t aware of it.
When you combine these two concepts — the fourth turning and mimetic desire — you create an incredibly powerful tool for both predicting the nature of the next crisis and identifying the best path through it.
You don’t have to to go through the next crisis. You can just opt out. The choice is yours.